Clinton has big lead over Trump in Minnesota

Published 9:57 am Monday, May 2, 2016

MINNEAPOLIS  — A new statewide poll conducted for the Star Tribune finds Democrat Hillary Clinton holding a big lead over Republican Donald Trump among Minnesota voters.

The latest Minnesota Poll finds Clinton leading Trump 48 percent to 35 percent in a matchup between the two presidential front-runners. The telephone poll of 800 registered Minnesota voters was taken April 25-27 by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research Inc. and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

The poll found that Trump fares worst in major cities, among young voters and among women. But it also found Trump nearly even with Clinton in nine exurban Twin Cities counties, and that Clinton’s slightly wider lead over the billionaire businessman in outstate Minnesota was within the poll’s margin of sampling error.

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Clinton was overwhelmingly popular in Hennepin and Ramsey counties, Minnesota’s two most populous counties, and that helped make up for the former secretary of state and U.S. senator’s deficiencies in the rest of the state, the poll found.

Clinton and Trump both face trust problems among Minnesota voters, the poll found. According to the poll, only 37 percent of voters think Clinton is honest and just 34 percent say Trump is truthful.

Christine Oakland, 46, a school building engineer from Maple Grove who participated in the poll, initially preferred Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders in the Democratic race but now thinks Clinton will be “a great candidate.”

“She’s got a lot of knowledge and at least you know you’re getting someone who knows how the job works,” Oakland said.

Although Trump finished third in Minnesota’s Republican presidential caucus in March, self-identified Republicans in the poll favored him over both GOP rivals Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Ohio Gov. John Kasich when asked who they most wanted to represent their party.

The poll found that 54 percent of Republicans expect Trump to be their nominee.

“I’m hoping it’s Trump,” said Sharon Ramberg, a 71-year-old retired business owner who lives in Mentor, in northwestern Minnesota. “Simply because he’s not a politician, and I think everyone is just tired of politicians.”

Trump is supported by 34 percent of Republicans responding to the poll, compared with 24 percent for Kasich and 23 percent for Cruz. Nineteen percent were still undecided.

“I like political incorrectness. But Trump takes it to a point where he’s just rude,” said libertarian-leaning Republican Marcus Piepho, 26, of Mankato, who is on active duty in the military but still registered to vote in Minnesota.

Although Sanders won Minnesota’s DFL presidential caucus, the poll found that 54 percent of self-identified Democrats would most like Clinton to be their nominee, compared with 39 percent for Sanders. Only 7 percent were undecided.