On Sunday, Sept. 22 at 1:00 p.m. ET, the Houston Texans will meet the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium. Our computer model predicts a win for the Vikings — see below for a complete breakdown, regarding the point spread, total and final score.

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The Texans rank ninth in total offense this season (363.5 yards per game), but they’ve been shining on defense, ranking third-best in the NFL with 363.5 yards allowed per game. From an offensive angle, the Vikings are generating 357.5 total yards per game (11th-ranked). They rank 18th in the NFL defensively (318 total yards given up per game).

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Vikings vs. Texans Predictions and Picks

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Vikings Betting Info

• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 48.8% chance of a victory for the Vikings.
• Minnesota has covered twice in two matchups with a spread this year.
• The Vikings have been an underdog by 1.5 points or more once this season, and covered the spread.
• So far this year, no Minnesota game has gone over the point total.
• The over/under for this game is 1.7 points higher than the average scoring total for Vikings games (44.3).

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Texans Betting Info

• Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Texans have an implied win probability of 55.6%.
• Houston is winless against the spread this season (0-1-1).
• The Texans have not covered the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season (in two opportunities).
• So far this season, one Houston game has hit the over.
• The point total average for Texans games this season is 47, one point higher than the over/under for this matchup.

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Vikings vs. Texans 2024 Scoring Insights

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